| Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model. | Cognitive Psychology, 24: 1-55. |
1992
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Venture theory: A Model of decision weights. 
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Management Science, 36(7): 780-803. |
1990
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Expression theory and the measurement of apparently labile values.
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Annals of Operations Research, 19: 51-78. |
1989
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| Decision making under ambiguity. | B. Munier (Ed.), Risk, decision, and rationality, pp. 327-336. Dordrecht, Holland: D. Reidel Publishing Company. |
1988
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| Diagnosis and causality in clinical and statistical prediction. | D. C. Turk, P. Salovey (Eds.), Reasoning, Inference, and Judgment in Clinical Psychology, pp. 51-70. New York: The Free Press. |
1988
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Decision making: Going forward in reverse.
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Harvard Business Review, 65(1): 66-70. |
1987
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Expression theory and the preference reversal phenomena.
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Psychological Review, 94(2): 236-254. |
1987
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| Accepting error to make less error. | Journal of Personality Assessment, 50(3): 387-395. |
1986
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Ambiguity and uncertainty in probabilistic inference.
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Psychological Review, 92(4): 433-461. |
1986
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Decision making under ambiguity.
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Journal of Business, 59(4), Part 2: S225-S250. |
1986
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Judging probable cause.
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Psychological Bulletin, 99(1): 3-19. |
1986
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| A contrast/surprise model for updating beliefs. | Working Paper. |
1985
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A model of the conjunction fallacy.
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Working Paper. |
1985
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A psychometric study of literary-critical judgment.
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Modern Language Studies, 12: 59-82. |
1982
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| Prediction, diagnosis, and causal thinking in forecasting. | Journal of Forecasting, 1: 23-36. |
1982
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| Reply to commentaries on: Behavioral decision theory. | G. R. Ungson and D.N. Braunstein (Eds.), Decision making: An interdisciplinary enquiry. Boston, MA: Kent Publishing Co. |
1982
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Behavioral decision theory: Processes of judgment and choice.
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Annual Review of Psychology 32: 53-88. |
1981
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| Rationality and the sanctity of competence (Commentary on L. J. Cohen, "Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated?"). | Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 4: 334-335. |
1981
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| Uncertainty and causality in practical inference. | Working Paper. |
1981
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| Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making. | T. Wallsten (Ed.), Cognitive processes in choice and decision behavior, pp. 1-20. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum. |
1980
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| Overconfidence in judgment. | R. Schweder and D. Fiske (Eds.), New directions for methodology of social and behavioral science: Fallible judgment in behavioral research, 4: 1-16. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass. |
1980
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Linear regression and process-tracing models of judgment.
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Psychological Review, 86: 465-485. |
1979
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Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity.
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Psychological Review, 85: 395-416. |
1978
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| Decision errors and fallible judgment: Implications for social policy. | K. Hammond (Ed.), Judgment and decision in public policy formation. American Association for the Advancement of Science. Denver, CO: Westview Press. |
1978
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| A simple multi-attribute utility procedure for evaluation. | Behavioral Science, 22: 270-282 [Also appears in S. Zionts (Ed.), (1978). Multiple criteria problem solving. Berlin: Springer-Verlag]. |
1977
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| Decisions based on fallible clinical judgment. | M. Kaplan and S. Schwartz (Eds.), Human judgment and decision processes in applied settings. New York: Academic Press. |
1977
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Quality of group judgment.
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Psychological Bulletin, 84: 158-172. |
1977
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A synthesis: Accounting and behavioral science.
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Journal of Accounting Research, 14, supplement (published in 1977),: 196-206. |
1976
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Optimal strategies for personnel selection when candidates can reject offers.
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Journal of Business, 49: 478-495. |
1976
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| Unit weighting schemes for decision making. | Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 13: 171-192. |
1975
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| Cue definition and residual judgment. | Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 12: 30-49. |
1974
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Alchemy in the behavioral sciences.
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Public Opinion Quarterly, 35: 367-378. |
1972
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Expert measurement and mechanical combination.
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Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 7: 86-106. |
1972
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An Exponential Discrepancy Model for Attitude Evaluation.
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Behavioral Science, 16(2): 152-157. |
1971
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Use of nonlinear, noncompensatory models as a function of task and amount of information.
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Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 6: 1-27. |
1971
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The use of nonlinear, noncompensatory models in decision making.
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Psychological Bulletin, 73: 221-230. |
1970
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